
India has more than doubled its non-fossil capacity in the last 8 years, but can it sustain this momentum? We are also targeting 500 GW of non-fossil fuel capacity by 2030. The pathway to this goal runs directly through the state distribution companies (discoms) — many of which continue to grapple with mounting losses and structural inefficiencies. Discoms' accumulated debt has doubled from INR 3.76 lakh crores in 2015 to INR 7.53 lakh crores in 2024 (equivalent to 2.31 per cent of the national GDP), implying that debts are becoming unsustainable. This concern is being regularly highlighted in the annual power ministers' conference. The increasing debt levels of DISCOMs post-Ujwal DISCOM Assurance Yojana (UDAY) reflect a combination of persistent policy gaps in UDAY implementation, shortfalls in subsidy and regulatory support, and the effects of external economic shocks such as the COVID-19 pandemic—factors that have overshadowed the temporary relief provided by the scheme.
Most discoms continue to incur high debt and losses despite several reform packages. In FY22, India's transmission and distribution losses stood at 15 per cent, while the world average is 6 per cent. The technical losses remain high because the grid comprises legacy infrastructure (such as high HT:LT ratio, overloaded transformers). The commercial losses are on account of gaps in tariff design, poor billing and collection efficiency, meter tampering and electricity theft. These persistent losses constrain discoms' ability to invest in essential network upgrades, facilitate open access, and integrate more RE – all key steps needed to meet India's rising electricity demand with a clean and affordable supply. A key enabler often discussed in addressing these challenges is tariff reform, which could provide discoms with much-needed financial stability.
This is the first part of a four-part blog series exploring India’s evolving power tariff landscape (read Part 2 here, Part 3 here, and Part 4 here). This installment explores how tariff rationalisation impacts discoms and India's clean energy future.
With a significant RE procurement plan by 2030, states like Gujarat and Maharashtra anticipate flat procurement cost trajectories and eventually lower consumer tariffs (Figure 1). For instance, in Maharashtra, over the next five years (FY 26 to 30):
Review of regulatory development points out that states like Karnataka, Gujarat, Maharashtra, and Madhya Pradesh are implementing progressive tariff structures that reflect actual costs, reduce cross-subsidies, and create tariff signals for renewable energy adoption. The following sections unpack state-level developments on tariff rationalisation that offer not just lessons but templates for other states to follow.
Cost-reflective tariffs include aligning the Average Billing Rate (ABR)—the average price consumers pay—with the actual Cost of Supply (CoS) for providing electricity. Achieving this requires aligning the ABR with the Average CoS (first step) and subsequently with the “embedded cost to serve” for each consumer category at different voltage levels (second step) and progressively reducing cross-subsidisation. The Electricity Act, 2003 mandates that cross-subsidies shall be “progressively reduced”, and the National Tariff Policy, 2016 directs State Electricity Regulatory Commissions (SERCs) to notify a roadmap for aligning consumer tariffs within ± 20 per cent of the Average Cost of Supply (ACoS). Over the past decade, several states have laid out a trajectory to eliminate cross-subsidy from the tariff structure.
Tariffs determined by the SERCs for agricultural consumers in some states and domestic consumers in most states are already close to the ACoS. Consequently, states' reliance on cross-subsidies from commercial and industrial (C&I) consumers has reduced, with state governments now shouldering a larger subsidy burden. The next aim for the state regulators should be to decide consumers' tariffs based on voltage-wise cost of supply (VCoS) or category-wise CoS, which will enable more efficiency in the overall tariff structure.. Table 1 captures development across a few states, such as Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Bihar, and Maharashtra, which are working towards eliminating cross-subsidy.
Table 1: Trends in category-wise cost alignment across states
|
State |
Development |
|---|---|
|
Karnataka |
Karnataka Electricity Regulatory Commission (KERC) outlined a trajectory to eliminate the cross-subsidy received by the agriculture category from FY 2025-26 (21 per cent) to FY 2027-28 (nil). The agriculture category was the only beneficiary of the cross-subsidy. |
|
Bihar, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu |
The domestic tariff in these states is more than 90 per cent of the ACoS, implying lower cross-subsidy. The data is for FY 2023. |
|
Madhya Pradesh and Bihar |
The agriculture tariff is more than 90 per cent of the ACoS. The data is for FY 2023. |
Source: Authors' compilation from KERC Tariff Order FY 2025; Energy Transition Preparedness Initiative (ETPI)
An electricity bill usually has two parts: fixed and variable charges. Fixed charges (FC) cover discoms’ costs like maintaining the grid, essential infrastructure upgrades and take-or-pay commitments to power generators. Variable charges help them recover the cost of electricity sold. Discoms typically do not recover all their fixed costs purely through fixed charges. Instead, a significant portion is included in variable charges. It means if consumers reduce their electricity consumption—even if they maintain the same contracted demand—the discom loses the fixed costs embedded in those variable charges.
However, in the recent past, several states have attempted to correct this distortion by increasing the fixed charges and reducing the variable charges. Depending on the state context, this alignment is achieved over a few years to avoid tariff shocks to consumers. Table 2 captures development across a few states.
Table 2: Steps taken by states to enhance fixed cost recovery
| State | Development |
| Karnataka |
|
| Maharashtra |
|
| Rajasthan |
|
| Delhi |
|
Source: Authors' analysis from KERC Tariff Order 2025, MERC Tariff Order FY 2025-26, RERC Tariff Order FY 2024-25 and DERC Approach Paper and Tariff Order 2018
Time-of-Day (ToD) or Time-of-Use (ToU) pricing involves varying electricity prices based on actual supply and demand conditions, encouraging efficient energy use. Given that electricity generation and balancing costs vary throughout the day, particularly with increasing renewable energy (RE) shares, tariffs should also reflect this variability. The ambitious deployment of smart meters under the Revamped Distribution Sector Scheme (RDSS) across states facilitates this shift, enabling slot-wise billing and dynamic pricing.
The mandate originates from the Electricity (Rights of Consumers) Amendment Rules, 2023, which expands the scope of ToD tariffs—already applicable to most C&I consumers in many states—to all C&I consumers with demand above 10 kW and introduces them for domestic consumers from 1 April 2025. A major shift now underway is aligning ToD tariffs with solar generation hours to better reflect real-time system costs. Table 3 captures development across a few states.
| State | Development |
| Maharashtra |
|
| Gujarat |
|
| Madhya Pradesh |
|
Source: Authors' compilation from MERC Tariff Order FY 2025-26, GERC Tariff Order FY 2025-26 and MPERC Tariff Order FY 2025-26
Tariff simplification involves reducing, merging or modifying consumer categories to make tariffs simpler, more understandable, and easier to administer. Table 4 captures development across a few states.
Table 4: State actions to streamline and consolidate consumer categories
|
State |
Development |
|
Maharashtra |
|
|
Punjab |
|
|
Rajasthan |
|
Source: Authors' compilation from MERC Tariff Order FY 2024-25, PSERC Tariff Order FY 2025-26 and RERC Tariff Order FY 2024-25
Rationalised tariffs not only create the enabling environment for unlocking the full benefits of critical initiatives underway for more renewable energy integration and grid modernisation, but also make way for introducing bold ideas such as new contracting structures. The ongoing initiatives implemented by the central and state governments range from upgrading distribution infrastructure, smart meter deployments, to thermal power plant flexibility and integrating energy storage systems.
Tariff rationalisation measures can catalyse a chain of reforms enabling smarter procurement decisions, improving load management, and incentivising storage and flexible generation. Table 5 highlights the benefits that tariff reforms can unlock for discoms.
Table 5: Tariff reforms unlock investment and efficiency gains for discoms
|
Initiatives |
Targets |
Benefits that can be unlocked for discoms |
|---|---|---|
|
Upgrading and augmenting the infrastructure |
PM Surya Ghar targets 30 GW roof-top solar installation for domestic consumers by 2027 Pradhan Mantri Kisan Urja Suraksha evam Utthaan Mahabhiyan (PM- KUSUM) targets 34.8 GW of agriculture solarisation by March 2026 |
|
|
Energy Storage Systems |
Agarwal et al, 2025 estimate - 132-280 GWh of battery energy storage systems (BESS), along with 100 GWh of pumped storage hydro (PSH) for moderate to high demand scenarios |
|
|
Smart Metering deployment |
The RDSS targets 25 crore smart meters by 2027 |
|
|
Thermal Power Plant flexibility |
40 per cent technical minimum load - Central Electricity Authority's Roadmap (2023) |
|
|
Optimising power procurement cost through innovative contracting structures |
Intra-day, day-ahead and monthly capacity contracts |
|
Source: Authors' analysis
Tariff reform without a matching push for discom accountability on service quality, resource planning, and new contract instruments risks the efficacy of such reforms and undermines public trust.
State electricity regulators must now adopt a genuine “carrot and stick” approach. Tariff rationalisation is the carrot, designed to improve discom cost recovery and financial health. But without the accompanying stick of accountability, reforms risk becoming one-sided. The Consumer Service Rating of Discoms Report 2023–24 highlights that only six private discoms secured the top A+ rating, indicating exemplary performance in consumer service parameters such as complaint resolution, bill delivery, call centre responsiveness, and reliability indices. In contrast, 23 out of 62 discoms were rated C or lower, reflecting significant room for improvement. SoP enforcement has historically been weak. Few commissions regularly review service quality data or ensure automatic compensation for lapses. KERC’s 2025 tariff order marks a shift, mandating automatic payouts, detailed reporting, and performance benchmarks from FY2026–27. But penalties remain too low to drive real behaviour change. Compensation must be scaled up to reflect actual consumer loss, and SoP implementation made more visible, data-driven, and institutionalised.
Regulators must also push discoms and the state governments to improve forward-looking decision-making. This includes robust resource adequacy planning, appropriate valuation of different fuel types (coal, solar, wind, hydro, nuclear), timely investments in grid infrastructure expansion and flexibility options, and accelerated adoption of market-based instruments like capacity contracts and derivatives. Tariffs, too, must evolve dynamically in response to rising RE uptake and shifting consumer demand patterns.
As we conclude, here are the key insights that emerge from our assessment, pointing the way forward for India's power sector reform journey:
Template for action: Reforms in some states serve as a guide for others
Urgency of reform: Delaying tariff reform hampers the speed and scale of capital-intensive programs like smart metering and energy storage.
Risks of inaction: Without proper price signals, investments misalign, consumer behaviour stays unresponsive, and costly short-term fixes dominate.
Need for consumer trust: Reliable supply and enforceable service standards are vital for public confidence.
If more regulators can combine financial realism with institutional accountability, India's power sector may finally be equipped to support its clean energy ambitions with resilience, transparency, and fairness.
Vishal Tripathi is a Consultant and Prateek Aggarwal is a Programme Lead at the Council on Energy, Environment and Water (CEEW), New Delhi. Send your comments to vishal.tripathi@ceew.in





